Eyes on the Fed, Trouble in Retailing

We have a very interesting mix this morning, as we look both at what the charts seem to be telling us and what that says for the future when we toss in some recent developments in retailing.

This may be one of those periods when, if someone pays attention, the market is telling us things.  The art of it all is learning to listen…

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Thinking Through “Kim Puts”

Yeah, the stock market is at record highs.  Not unexpected, and from here we may have even more upside ahead.

But, there is an ugly geopolitical mess half-way around the world:  Korea.  And the task this morning is to look at ways to possibly make a buck, or save some, when that whole thing “blows up.”

It’s a rethink on the old physics problem:  “What happens when an immovable object meets an irresistable force…”

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Bracketing All-Time Highs

I touched on this morning’s topic on the UrbanSurvival site Tuesday. Where will the high for this market hit?

This morning the details.  You see, it raises very interesting technical questions:  Do Elliott Wave principles apply to Aggregated Market data, for example?

And in our Focus section: A comparison of the 1929 stock bubble run-up and Bitcoins performance.  It’s just what we forecast in June. Tulips for breakfast is here.

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A $100 Prepping Plan

The recent outbreak of weather (and seismic) events, forest fires, and so on, has us thinking about the best use of money.

If you have prepped as long as we have, the cases of ammo, buckets of food, barrels of water, and all the rest is really overkill.

But if you’re one of those people who didn’t get with the program in the “first round of prepping” the subject is likely about to emerge from the “mass adoption” gulch and very much into the mainstream.

Problem is:  How do you scale into it?

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Directorate 153: "Operation 30"

We will often use the “thinking tool” of a purely hypothetical trans-governmental entity we call Directorate 153 in order to frame certain discussions that would seem highly improbably, absent a cohesive organizing force.

Once you get used to the concept of our “run-away think tank” ensconced in the hill just off to the side of the Shenandoah Valley, however, you will quickly see how this “concept modeler” has become a staple in our power-tools for thinking cabinet.
After we talk about last week’s injured economy from Harvey – and yesterday’s market decline that was “close enough” given we had previously presented the 9-day lag between Katrina smacking NOLA and the subsequent market waking from denial – followed by a 5% decline – we will ruminate on where the evidence (and body counts) are pointing.

A globally “coincidental” drop-back to 1930 population levels comes into view.  Along with a seriously under-estimated Kim Jung Un.

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Solar Power–For Harvey and Beyond

A buddy of mine asked about buying a commercial “solar power source” for camping.  You know the story, got a new trailer, don’t want a big noise-maker.

After I jumped up and down and screams “Don’t do it!” at the top of my lungs, it occurred to me that a lot of people in Post-Harvey Land could use a SIMPLE short course on Solar Power. 

You wish is my keyboard…

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Harvey’s Coming Impact on Stocks

In today’s exciting episode, we answer two important questions.

The first is:  “What is the impact of a major hurricane on stock markets? ” We are guided by some historical data.

The second is “What will happen in the market over the rest of this week?”

We’ll skip the coffee, kibbles, snivels, and drivel..Hurricane recovery costs money and some of that is like to come from the markets.

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Yet Another Trading Scheme

Maybe it’s the weather.  Or, having my UrbanSurvival website go down on Friday and spending from 8:15 in the morning until about 2:15 in the afternoon fixing that – all while having contact lenses issues from all the computer-time.  And then writing until 4 PM to finish today’s report…

Whatever the reason, though, Ures truly has a new approach to trading to unveil today.  While it holds a lot of promise, we’ll have to see how it works out, but I’ll lay out the basic algorithm. 

Friday, once Urban was up again, I was the guy deep in the spreadsheets singing “Stormy weather...:”

Be careful what you wish for….

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The “Million Dollar Problem”

While we wait to see if the market can gain 200 on the Dow in 2 days left in our ATH window, we are going to have some fun this morning:  One of our subscribers asked, essentially, if someone handed you a million bucks, what would you do with it?

This kind of this is not so rare as you might think and the answer is so far from easy, it will make your head spin.

So after a few headlines, and other such items, we will pretend that we’ve just been handed a million bucks.  The answers may be surprising…

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