What Comes After the Fire Department?

Although it has been “the Fire Department” almost forever, it may be time to consider a rebranding effort because the scope of the fire service has changed dramatically.

This morning, a first chapter of a proposed book and a description of where it goes as the data is rolled out.  And subscribers will have an opportunity to send a “thumbs up” or “thumbs down” on whether the book is warranted.

First, though, we look at some mighty bothersome data from the Federal Reserve and a few headlines before marching into Chapter 1.

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Here Comes “Responsive Video”

God, I love history.

Not only have we been able to use it to line our pockets with modest (-1 to +3% per week) gains  (or tiny losses)  in the stock market, but in addition, we even know where to look for “the next generation of tech.”

So if this really is the analog to the 1928-1929 period, what was the New Tech that showed up (predictably) right at the pinnacle of the Roaring Twenties?

Why television, of course! Heard of it?  See Philo Taylor Farnsworth and 1927 here.

So it’s hardly surprising that “Responsive Video” is creeping into the public mind around the edges now.

But before we futurize, let’s monetize.  With some trend-drivers in the news and of course, that marvelous system of looking at markets we call the Aggregate Approach.

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Business Model Threat Analysis

What is a business model?

What constitutes a threat to a business model?

And why would you give a rip?

Seems a reasonable set of questions – the answers just ahead as soon as a few headline, the ChartPack, and the coffee is done.

The good news?

Business model (threats) are more than just an investment tool.  They can also save your career from long-term disaster.

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Investing: Step-by-Step for Millennials

A beginner’s Guide today.  How much to get started, how to pick an online brokerage, and a ton more including how to make – and read – your own charts.

One of our readers – a Millennial at that – asked if I could whip up such a simple, step-by-step guide to how to invest in the stock market. Something for newbies.

Since I wrote the Millennial’s Missing Manual, and that eBook – which will be on Amazon any minute – is all about processes and how you can do anything ever done by another human (if you can find their recipes), why not apply the same thing to the stock market?

Easy-peasy, right?

So this morning we will dispense with the headlines – since you can find the flow of news updated every few minutes from our news/RSS feed page over here, we will combine everything about investing into a series of really easy-to-follow steps.  There is also a reading list – the mechanical part is simple.  The strategies is where the gold is buried.

Who knows?  Maybe even my own Gen-x kids will find it worth reading…

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Disappearing Investment Choices

This morning, since it’s a holiday weekend and all, we will focus on the charts and outlooks for next week’s action which will very much hinge on military developments between now and the Monday open.

We will also consider the problem of ‘disappearing investment options.”  Sure, things like real estate are still selling, but to the long term, strategic investor, there’s always got to be an exit strategy in view.

And right now, some of those are going mirage-like.

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Times of Economic Self-Preservation

We dispense with all the usual formatics this morning to deal with the One Question that Matters.

What’s the right move at this precise time and place that a person trying to preserve their retirement accounts and such MIGHT consider given where we are in the Economic Long Wave?

It’s a complex question and while we don’t offer financial advice, this morning’s discussion will give you all kinds of things to consider.

Indeed, an  unusual report this morning, but then again, these are definitely unusual times.

As always, I tend to err on the side of caution – and freely admit that by doing so we may sacrifice a few potential gains.  But it all comes down to what your age is and how much time you have to recover from a major set-back should you get things spectacularly wrong?

Thus, a longish discussion about perspectives and where the Long Wave seems to hold us at present day.

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Come Sit at my Trading Platform

I  rocked it today.  Not a big win, but this time I conscientiously journaled every move, since a number of subscribers have asked about my thinking processes between the Peoplenomics Oscillator updates at mid week and on weekends.

You asked….so here’s how we rolled. 

Thought by thought.

Blew out of my long position, if even for 20 hours, when an urge to exit hit me shortly after the open on Monday.

This afternoon, the journal of the thinking process  – on the off chance you might find it useful and/or interesting…

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Top In? And How Does Depression II Roll?

A couple of big items on the agenda this morning.  In the ChartPack section we work through what some of the initial Syria results are in terms of market impacts.

Then, in the Focus piece, we consider how homes and car prices might fare in the opening couple of years of a Second Depression when it shows up.

Headlines?  Only a few.  Coffee?  Oh, heavens yes.  Bean up and let’s “hoptoit.”

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Thinking the Unthinkable Day

We have much to ponder:  New jobs report.  A winner.  Meanwhile, a series of Federal Reserve working papers has us considering the kind of future the Fed is looking at.  Then there’s more action by North Korea and a migration path to war with China if we screw the pooch in negotiations.

But mainly, we’re watching the markets and the rhyme off the 1920’s and waiting for the Big Top which must necessarily be set before the Second Depression sets in.  On the way up, we’re happily on our way to adding another significant digit in our trading account.

Unless, that is, we skip it the blow off top and go right to the war that usually follows a global depression.

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